NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Week 7

NFL Game Previews: Breaking Down Week 7

This article is part of our NFL Game Previews series.

Seattle at San Francisco (+6) - Thursday, 8:25 p.m. EDT

Comments: So much for the Return of the Revenge of the Legion of Boom. The Seahawks once again fell apart in the fourth quarter last week, and they couldn't stop the Panthers' running game at the goal line or Greg Olsen anywhere on the field. The 49ers' offense is in many ways a poor man's version of the Panthers unit (mobile quarterback, name-brand tight end, mediocre wide receivers, running back who shows occasional flashes), which probably helps Seattle on the short week, but even with Kam Chancellor back this just doesn't look like the fearsome defense that took the team to back-to-back Super Bowl appearances. ... If you like sacks, this should be the game for you. Russell Wilson has been dragged down a league-leading 26 times, while Colin Kaepernick is third with 19. Those high totals are a product not just of their trust in their legs to keep plays alive, but also two poor offensive lines that can't maintain a pocket for more than a couple of heartbeats. Neither front seven has been particularly great at getting to the quarterback, but even a blind squirrel playing DE could find a sack or two rushing against the Niners and 'Hawks O-lines. ... Carlos Hyde is still not 100 percent due to a foot injury, and even though he played through it last week, it's possible he gets held out given the short turnaround. Seattle's defense has decent numbers against

Seattle at San Francisco (+6) - Thursday, 8:25 p.m. EDT

Comments: So much for the Return of the Revenge of the Legion of Boom. The Seahawks once again fell apart in the fourth quarter last week, and they couldn't stop the Panthers' running game at the goal line or Greg Olsen anywhere on the field. The 49ers' offense is in many ways a poor man's version of the Panthers unit (mobile quarterback, name-brand tight end, mediocre wide receivers, running back who shows occasional flashes), which probably helps Seattle on the short week, but even with Kam Chancellor back this just doesn't look like the fearsome defense that took the team to back-to-back Super Bowl appearances. ... If you like sacks, this should be the game for you. Russell Wilson has been dragged down a league-leading 26 times, while Colin Kaepernick is third with 19. Those high totals are a product not just of their trust in their legs to keep plays alive, but also two poor offensive lines that can't maintain a pocket for more than a couple of heartbeats. Neither front seven has been particularly great at getting to the quarterback, but even a blind squirrel playing DE could find a sack or two rushing against the Niners and 'Hawks O-lines. ... Carlos Hyde is still not 100 percent due to a foot injury, and even though he played through it last week, it's possible he gets held out given the short turnaround. Seattle's defense has decent numbers against the run despite their short-yardage failures in the loss to Carolina (3.6 yards per carry, ninth in the league) so even if Hyde does play, don't expect him to return to his Week 1 form just yet. Anquan Boldin is also limping with a minor hamstring tweak, but he's expected to play.

Predictions:
Marshawn Lynch bangs out 80 yards and a score. Wilson also rushes for 40 yards and throws for 240 yards and a touchdown to Jimmy Graham, getting sacked three times. Hyde starts and gains 50 yards, while Kaepernick gets sacked four times and doesn't crack 200 passing yards, though he does manage a TD to Boldin. Seahawks 17-13

Buffalo at Jacksonville (+5.5) - Sunday, 9:30 a.m. EDT

Comments:EJ Manuel did a decent Tyrod Taylor impression against the Bengals last week, but who starts in London will depend entirely on Taylor's knee. The Jaguars have arguably the worst secondary in the league (just 23rd in YPA at 7.7, but their 10:1 TD:INT ratio is bottom of the barrel), so whoever plays could be in line for a good day, even with Sammy Watkins (ankle) and Percy Harvin (hip) both unlikely to suit up. ... That terrible secondary has helped Blake Bortles become the King of Garbage Time this season. The second-year quarterback is on pace for more than 4,300 passing yards and already has more TDs in six games this year than he did in 14 games as a rookie. Those numbers haven't helped Jacksonville win much, mind you, but when you're looking for a bye week fill-in for Aaron Rodgers or Andy Dalton, the Jags playing with a lead is the last thing you want. The Bills' pass defense has been stingy with the yards this year (6.4 YPA, fourth in the league) but its 13 TD passes allowed is actually third most in the NFL, and you can't blame all of that on Tom Brady. ... Shady's back, and your backfield felt so empty without him. LeSean McCoy busted out last week, and as long as his hamstring remains attached he figures to get a very big workload from Rex Ryan. The Jags have been very solid against the run (their 3.4 yards per carry is actually tops in the league, which shows you how important run defense is in today's game), but Doug Martin torched them a couple of weeks ago, and McCoy will get every opportunity to do the same.

Predictions: McCoy gains 110 combined yards and scores twice, once on the ground and once through the air. With the Bills' bye on tap next week, Taylor sits again, and Manuel throws for 230 yards and a second TD to Robert Woods. T.J. Yeldon returns from a groin injury but only rushes for 60 yards, while Bortles throws for 290 yards and touchdowns to Allen Robinson and Julius Thomas, but also a pick-six to rookie Ronald Darby, in yet another futile comeback attempt. Bills, 31-17

Tampa Bay (+3.5) at Washington - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Bucs got to savor their win over the Jaguars during their bye week, and if you give them a mulligan for not showing up in Week 1 against the Titans, they've actually been not bad this season. Jameis Winston hasn't been great but a 7.7 YPA for a rookie is nothing to sneeze at, while Doug Martin looks like he's returned to form and even the young offensive line has shown signs of growth. If Winston used the time off to re-introduce himself to Mike Evans, Tampa's offense might put scares into people down the stretch. ... The defense isn't scaring anyone right now, though. Your crazy stat of the week: somehow, the Bucs have allowed the second-most points per game this season (29.6, just a shade below Chicago) despite allowing the fifth-fewest yards per game. Winston's seven INTs and some short fields have something to do with it, but really it's just a unit that gives up too many big plays. Fortunately, this week they play against Kirk Cousins and a Washington offense that seems allergic to big plays, especially with DeSean Jackson (hamstring) missing and Matt Jones (toe) gimpy. ... Cousins, at least, is expected to get Jordan Reed back from a concussion, but the Bucs and Lavonte David have completely stifled tight ends, allowing one measly touchdown and less than 30 receiving yards a game to TEs, so Reed probably isn't going to move the needle much for their offense.

Predictions: Martin has another big game, gaining 130 combined yards and a score, while Winston has his second INT-free game in a row, throwing for 250 yards and TDs to Evans and Vincent Jackson. Alfred Morris grinds out 70 yards, but Cousins has an awful game, throwing for 210 yards and a late touchdown to Jamison Crowder plus three interceptions, kicking off a quarterback controversy in DC as the team heads into its bye week. Buccaneers, 24-10

Atlanta at Tennessee (+4.5) - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Ken Whisenhunt has never coached a true franchise quarterback, so maybe he just didn't realize that slapping a knee brace on Marcus Mariota and sending him back into the game to stand immobile in the pocket behind a terrible offensive line wasn't in the best interest of the team. Fortunately for the Titans, Mariota only has a sprained MCL, but if Zach Mettenberger isn't under center this week, I think Titans fans would be entirely justified in riding Whisenhunt out of town on a rail, especially with starting center Brian Schwenke having landed on IR this week with a dislocated ankle. ... I probably owe Falcons fans an apology after viciously jinxing them in last week's Game Cap. Truth be told, my gut was telling me the Saints would steal it, but I couldn't logic my way to an outcome that had them coming out on top. I have no such concerns here. Tennessee's defense is nearly as bad as New Orleans' (4.7 yards per carry allowed, 26th in the league, and 8.2 YPA allowed, 28th in the league), but the Titans' offense doesn't have a Drew Brees, or even a Mark Ingram. ... Julio Jones is off the injury report, but both Leonard Hankerson (ribs and hamstring) and Roddy White (knee) are questionable, so Matt Ryan may be looking Julio's way an awful lot in this one.

Predictions:Devonta Freeman racks up 140 combined yards and a TD, but Tevin Coleman also runs for 70 yards. Ryan throws for 310 yards and two touchdowns to Jones, who pulls down 120 receiving yards. Bishop Sankey ends up leading the Titans' backfield with 50 combined yards with Antonio Andrews banging in a short score. Mettenberger gets the start but is ineffective, throwing for 220 yards with a touchdown to Justin Hunter. Falcons, 30-17

New Orleans (+4.5) at Indianapolis - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Saints didn't so much win last week as the Falcons lost, but they still get the W in the standings. Drew Brees notched his fourth 300-yard passing game in five starts and despite his age, his shoulder and his no-name receiving corps, he just keeps on chugging along. That should be especially true against a Colts defense that's allowed 7.9 yards per pass attempt (26th in the league), 289 passing yards a game (28th) and 11 passing TDs (tied for 23rd). ... Andrew Luck showed no ill effects from his shoulder injury last week, and while the Colts pass defense has been bad, the Saints have been worse, allowing 8.6 yards per attempt (second most in the league) with similar yardage and TDs allowed as Indy. Basically, both teams have excellent quarterbacks and no secondaries, so expect pinball numbers. ... Marques Colston is still questionable after missing last week's game with a shoulder injury, but he hasn't been much of a factor this season even when healthy. He's had an outstanding career in NOLA, sitting 561 receiving yards shy of 10,000, but he could have a hard time hitting the milestone this year. It's going to be really weird seeing him in another uniform next season, assuming he wants that 10K and doesn't just hang up his cleats completely.

Predictions:Mark Ingram hits for 90 combined yards and a touchdown. Brees throws for 340 yards and TDs to Brandin Cooks and C.J. Spiller. Frank Gore has his first 100-yard game as a Colt and scores, while Luck throws for 370 yards and touchdowns to T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief and Dwayne Allen. Colts, 34-27

Minnesota at Detroit (+2.5) - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Detroit's win over Chicago left the NFL with no winless teams after only six weeks, which seems weirdly early. It also leaves the league with 17 teams that have just one or two wins, and while some of those could picks up the pace fairly quickly (the Dolphins and Seahawks, for instance), that's still a lot of teams making legitimate claims for the top pick in the 2016 draft with their ineptitude. Detroit's case seems as strong as any, though. To pick just one example: they are the first team in the league to allow double-digit touchdowns both on the ground and through the air this season. Matthew Stafford's deal runs through 2017, but if the Lions have a shiny new franchise QB staring at them at the top of their board next April, they almost have to pull the trigger. Whether he realizes it or not, Stafford's season from here on could be one long audition for other teams. ... Teddy Bridgewater may have been born in 1992, but his stats look like they're from that season. Back then, Steve Young's 25 TD passes led the league, Dan Marino was the only quarterback to top 4,000 passing yards, and only two QBs (Young and, umm, Bobby Hebert? Really?) had a YPA north of 7.0. Bridgewater's pace of 3,274 yards with a 64.4 completion percentage and a 7.0 YPA would have had him pegged as one of the best young quarterbacks in the league. In fact, there was some kid in Green Bay that year who ended up with really similar numbers in his first season as the starter: 3,227 yards, a 64.1 completion percentage and a 6.9 YPA. I wonder whatever happened to that Brett Favre guy. Anyway, it's kind of baffling to see an offense coordinated by Norv Turner shackle its QB to this extent, even if it does have Adrian Peterson in the backfield. At some point, Bridgewater has to start throwing the ball more often. Doesn't he? ... At least he seems to have a blossoming young receiver to throw to. Stefon Diggs has exploded over the Vikings' last two games, catching 13 passes on 19 targets for 216 yards. He got his chance while Charles Johnson was out with a rib injury, and while Johnson looks like he'll return this week, he might not get his starting gig back. It's hard to recommend a young WR on a team that doesn't throw much, but Diggs has looked like the real deal even going back to the preseason.

Predictions: Peterson torches the Lions as he usually does, rushing for 140 yards and two TDs. Bridgewater throws for 220 yards and gets Diggs his first NFL touchdown. Ameer Abdullah has a strong game with 80 combined yards and a score while Stafford throws for 230 yards and TDs to Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate but also two INTs. Vikings, 27-24

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (+2) - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: It really shouldn't have taken a hamstring injury to get the Steelers to try Landry Jones at quarterback over a horrid Michael Vick. I mean seriously, six passing yards on eight attempts? How is that even possible? However Mike Tomlin got there he eventually made the right decision, making Pittsburgh fans (and anyone with shares in Martavis Bryant) very happy. Jones might only get one start, as Ben Roethlisberger is inching closer to returning from his knee injury, but if so, he picked the right defense to have it against. The Chiefs has given up 7.7 yards per pass attempt (25th in the league), and their 14 TD passes allowed is second most. With Bryant now in a groove and Antonio Brown itching to remind people that he exists, Jones has the weapons to put up some interesting numbers against an exploitable secondary. ... The post-Jamaal Charles era didn't start off so well for Kansas City, as neither Charcandrick West nor Knile Davis did much of anything against the Vikings. A Pittsburgh defense allowing 3.7 yards per carry doesn't seem like it will be much more fruitful on the ground, so the Chiefs may have to rely on Alex Smith's arm in this one whether Andy Reid wants to or not. Making Smith's job more difficult, though, is Jeremy Maclin, who passed the league's concussion protocol but is questionable to play. If Maclin's out too, the Chiefs won't have many weapons left in their arsenal. ... At least Travis Kelce has a good matchup. The Steelers have been gutted by tight ends this season, allowing a league-high six TDs and more than eight yards a target to TEs, and if Kelce sees additional work due to Maclin's injury he could be poised for a very big game.

Predictions:Le'Veon Bell is held to less than 100 combined yards for the second straight game, but scores. Jones is solid, throwing for 260 yards and TDs to Brown and Markus Wheaton, while Brown has 120 receiving yards. West leads the Chiefs backfield with 70 combined yards, while Smith throws for 290 yards and touchdowns to Kelce and Chris Conley. Steelers, 24-23

Cleveland (+5.5) at St. Louis - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: OK, I give up. For weeks I've been waiting for the Gary Barnidge bubble to burst, because it just defies all reason for a 30-year-old journeyman tight end to suddenly turn into a lost Gronkowski brother (are we absolutely, 100 percent sure Rob doesn't have an older brother who was given away for adoption or something?), but it's clear that Josh McCown loves throwing to Barnidge, and just as clear that opposing defense can't seem to cover him even when they know what's coming. Here's Barnidge over the last four games: 23 catches on 35 targets for 358 yards and five TDs, and he's now on pace for, well, ridiculousness. The Rams have been tough on tight ends, allowing just one TE touchdown, and Barnidge picked up a bit of an ankle injury last week, but if you think things like injuries or tough matchups are going to slow him down now, you just haven't been feeling the Barn. ... Speaking of unstoppable forces, Todd Gurley has rushed for 305 yards in his last two games and now faces a Browns defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry and 149.8 rushing yards per game. Oh, and he's coming out of his bye week too, so he's well rested. Jinkies. ... Josh McCown has a string of four consecutive games with two TD passes (yes, he's thrown to someone other than Barnidge occasionally), but that could be in jeopardy. He's been sacked 17 times in four-plus games, while the Rams have 19 sacks in five games. McCown could get some great views of the roof of the Edward Jones Dome.

Predictions:Duke Johnson leads the Browns' backfield with 70 combined yards. McCown gets sacked five times but throws for 280 yards and a TD to Travis Benjamin, while Barnidge finally cools down. (Fine, I lied, I do still think the bubble's gonna burst). Gurley explodes for 130 yards and three touchdowns, while Nick Foles doesn't have much to do, throwing for 200 yards and a touchdown to Brian Quick. Rams, 31-13

Houston (+4.5) at Miami - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: Funny how much of a difference the coaching switch made for the Dolphins, isn't it? It's almost like they were actually a talented group of players who were being demotivated by Joe Philbin. The biggest winner of the change was obviously Lamar Miller, and not just because he saw 20-plus touches for the first time this season. Dan Campbell seemed to favor two tight end sets, with Dion Sims seeing more snaps than the third and fourth WRs (Kenny Stills and Greg Jennings) combined, and that emphasis on the ground game again makes Miller the breakout candidate everyone expected him to be coming into the season. Lost in the shuffle is DeVante Parker, who was barely on the field and will apparently have to prove himself to Campbell before he moves above the retreads on the depth chart. ... Arian Foster may be on the field every Sunday, but he's not back yet. He remains limited in practice during the week, and a 2.3 YPC in three games is less than half what he managed last season. The Texans are also 1-2 with Foster in the lineup, with the one win coming against a Jaguars team they probably could have beaten without him, which makes you wonder what they really gained by rushing him back into action after his surgery. ... Foster's struggles just mean more action for target monster DeAndre Hopkins, who has double-digit targets in every game this year and has a string of four straight 100-yard receiving games on the go. The revitalized Dolphins defense will probably make it its mission to end that streak, but that's easier said than done, especially given a Texans offensive line that's been strong in pass protection.

Predictions: Foster grinds out 60 yards, which is actually his best performance to date in 2015. Brian Hoyer throws for 280 yards and two touchdowns to Hopkins and Nate Washington, but Hopkins is held to less than 100 yards. Miller rushes for 90 yards and a TD, while Ryan Tannehill has a good day, throwing for 280 yards and scores to Rishard Matthews and Jordan Cameron while also running in a third TD. Dolphins, 31-20

N.Y. Jets (+9) at New England - Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Jets look like they're going to be the biggest obstacle in the way of Tom Brady's angry rampage to a perfect season. The defense is as good as it's ever been, leading the league in yards per pass attempt allowed (5.4, when no one else is below 6.0) and completion percentage allowed (52.4) while also being second in yards per carry allowed (3.5) and rushing yards allowed per game (82.6), but the offense is also significantly upgraded with a solid passing attack and Chris Ivory doing cruel things to opposing defenses. It's not hard to see the Patriots beating anybody by double digits, but it's also not hard to see an upset here that puts the AFC East up for grabs. ... On the other hand, Ryan Fitzpatrick is still the Jets' quarterback, and his track record against New England is less than inspiring: 1-6 in seven starts against them from his days with the Bills, with a 76.9 QB rating and a 13:17 TD:INT ratio. He didn't have the weapons in Buffalo that he does in New York, but he's also thrown at least one pick in every game this season, a trend that is likely to continue in Foxboro this week. ... Dion Lewis is still limited in practice with an abdominal injury, and LeGarrette Blount re-established himself as the Pats RB worth investing in over the last few games. The Jets haven't been particularly vulnerable to receiving backs anyway, so don't expect that backfield balance to shift back toward Lewis this week.

Predictions: Ivory gains 80 combined yards and scores. Fitzpatrick gets picked off twice, but still throws for 250 yards and three TDs, two to Eric Decker and one to Brandon Marshall. Blount pounds out 60 yards, while Brady throws for 310 yards and touchdowns to Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman and Keshawn Martin. Jets, 31-27

Oakland (+4) at San Diego - Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EDT

Comments:Philip Rivers' big game at Lambeau Field last week may have re-written the Chargers' record book, but it likely won't be the only huge performance he has this season. Rivers has the perfect storm for high volume production (and fantasy value): a good quarterback with solid receiving options, no running game and a leaky defense that forces him to play catch-up a lot. Normally a game against the Raiders wouldn't tick that last box on the list, but Oakland's offense can score, and they're coming off a bye, so this matchup has the potential to produce big numbers in the same way that Saints-Colts game earlier in the day does. Keenan Allen has a hip flexor injury, though, so Rivers could be without his best weapon Sunday. ... Melvin Gordon was supposed to solve the "no running game" thing for San Diego, but after fumbling twice last week he didn't even see the field in the second half against the Packers. He's now put the ball on the ground four times in six games, losing three, and it's not like his 3.8 YPC is demanding snaps. You can still see flashes of ability from him, and the Chargers' offensive line hasn't done him many favors, but I'm starting to like him better as a 2016 post-hype sleeper than as a second-half breakout candidate. ... Latavius Murray has been good but not great in his first full season as the starter, but he's nice and rested for a game against arguably the worst run defense in the league (the Chargers defense allows a monstrous 5.4 yards per carry, almost half a yard higher than the 31st-place Browns). Even if the Raiders fall behind early and have to ditch the running game, though, Murray's surprising contributions as a receiver should result in a productive day for him, whether he notches his second 100-yard rushing game of the season or not.

Predictions: Murray rambles for 120 combined yards and two TDs, one on the ground and one through the air. Derek Carr throws for 280 yards and a second score to Amari Cooper. Gordon hangs onto the football and rushes for 60 yards and his first NFL touchdown. Allen doesn't play, but Rivers still throws for 240 yards and TDs to Antonio Gates and Dontrelle Inman. Chargers, 27-24

Dallas (+3.5) at NY Giants - Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EDT

Comments: You'll have to forgive the Giants if they look a bit confused this week, as the Cowboys lineup has undergone some radical changes since the teams met in Week 1. Tony Romo, Dez Bryant and (probably) Joseph Randle are out on offense, replaced with Matt Cassel, Brice Butler (maybe) and Christine Michael, while Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain have returned from suspension on defense. Those first two absences are still massive holes in the Dallas lineup, and the team used its bye week to ditch Brandon Weeden at QB in favor of Cassel, who might be a little more willing to throw a ball more than five yards downfield, or to someone who has a defender within five yards of him, than Weeden was. No matter who's under center, though, the Cowboys will be scraping for points without their two biggest weapons. ... Bad Eli Manning took over last Monday, just one week after Good Eli Manning looked like he would be inducted directly into Canton without needing to retire, but the difference might have less to do with him and more to do with an Eagles pass rush that gave the Giants offensive line fits. Manning's only been sacked seven times this season but three came last week, and he now faces a Hardy-led Cowboys pass rush that got to Tom Brady five times in one half last week. Oh, and Dallas also gets second-round pick Randy Gregory back from an ankle injury too, give it more reinforcements at defensive end. There could be a lot of Manning Face happening Sunday afternoon. ... Even if Manning does get some time in the pocket, who will he throw to? Odell Beckham played through a hamstring injury last week and will likely do so again, and while he scored a touchdown for the second straight game he clearly wasn't 100 percent healthy. Rueben Randle is also expected to play despite a hamstring injury, while Victor Cruz seems no closer to returning from his calf injury than he did in the preseason. What that does leave, however, is a juicy opportunity for a revenge game from Dwayne Harris. It's kind of tough to call it a "revenge" game when a player leaves in free agency because he got overpaid by a division rival, but "lingering ill-defined grudge for no good reason game" doesn't have the same ring to it.

Predictions: Michael starts and makes a good first impression, rushing for 80 yards and a TD. Cassel throws for 270 yards and touchdowns to Jason Witten and Cole Beasley, but also gets picked off twice. Sean Lee scoops up a fumble and returns it for a score as well. Rashad Jennings picks up 80 combined yards and a TD, while Manning gets sacked six times and picked off twice but still throws for 300 yards and touchdowns to Harris and Larry Donnell to keep it close. Cowboys, 31-29

Philadelphia (+3) at Carolina - Sunday, 8:30 p.m. EDT

Comments: The Seahawks may not be quite the bully of the NFC they've been the last couple seasons, but the Panthers still made a statement by walking into Seattle and coming out with a win. They're still a fairly one-dimensional team on offense, as Greg Olsen remains Cam Newton's only reliable passing option, but the defense is stout and can keep any game close. If rookie Devin Funchess, who saw a career-high six targets last week, can continue to develop they could be the team no one wants to face in the playoffs. ... Last week's MNF game was pretty much the definition of winning ugly for Sam Bradford. Chip Kelly's system will continue to give him the occasional big performance and decent volume production, but multiple INT games will probably remain the norm rather than the exception. ... At least DeMarco Murray is starting to earn his contract and take some of the pressure off the passing game for the Eagles. He now has 195 rushing yards and two TDs over his last two games, and if the Panthers defense is vulnerable anywhere it's on the ground (15th in yards per carry allowed at 3.9), though it's spent much of the season without Luke Kuechly due to a concussion. With Kuechly back last week, the Panthers held Marshawn Lynch to 54 yards and a 3.2 YPC, and Philly's offensive line isn't in much better shape than Seattle's.

Predictions: Murray bangs out 70 yards and scores for the third straight game. Bradford is bad again, though, throwing for 230 yards and a touchdown to Jordan Matthews but getting picked off twice. Jonathan Stewart rushes for 60 yards and Newton chips in another 40 on the ground while throwing for 240 yards and touchdowns to Funchess and Ted Ginn. Panthers, 23-17

Baltimore (+7.5) at Arizona - Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT

Comments: If this season for Baltimore gets any worse, John Harbaugh could be checking with his brother in Michigan to see if he's looking for an assistant. They haven't lost a game by even a full touchdown yet, with their losses coming by six, four, four, three and five points, but when you're 1-5 and already pretty much out of the playoff race, there isn't much of a silver lining to find in that dark cloud. The skies aren't likely to clear in Arizona either, especially with the Cardinals stinging from a loss to the Steelers. Carson Palmer has hung 40-plus points on three teams already this season, and against a team allowing 8.2 yards per pass attempt (29th in the league) a fourth victim is in his crosshair. ... Steve Smith is just amazing. I'm not sure I could get out of bed with microfractures in my back, and he goes out and hauls in 137 receiving yards and a touchdown with them. Playing through a back injury is one thing, but playing through a back injury while carrying Patrick Peterson around all day is quite another. ... Michael Floyd seems just about healthy again, which gives Palmer just an unfair number of options. Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown have each scored a touchdown in the last two games, and Fitz and Brown have three 100-yard receiving games between them this season. From a fantasy perspective it's actually a bit of a problem, since you can't be sure whose turn it will be to go off in any particular week, but if the floor for the trio is anything like last week (take your pick: 8-93-0 for Fitzgerald or 5-50-1 for Floyd) there's really no wrong answer.

Predictions:Justin Forsett manages 80 combined yards, while Joe Flacco throws for 220 yards and a TD to Marlon Brown. Chris Johnson leads the Cards' backfield with 90 rushing yards, while Palmer throws for 340 yards and four touchdowns, one each to Fitzgerald, Brown, Andre Ellington and David Johnson. Fitzgerald also tops 100 receiving yards. Cardinals, 34-16

Last week's record: 8-6, 6-7-1 ATS
Season to date: 60-31, 44-44-3 ATS

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Erik Siegrist
Erik Siegrist is an FSWA award-winning columnist who covers all four major North American sports (that means the NHL, not NASCAR) and whose beat extends back to the days when the Nationals were the Expos and the Thunder were the Sonics. He was the inaugural champion of Rotowire's Staff Keeper baseball league. His work has also appeared at Baseball Prospectus.
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