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The Z Files: Taking a Second Look

Todd Zola

Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year.

As most you know, I handle the weekly pitching rankings for the site. I won’t rehash the entire process but here’s the thumbnail version: I start with my current season-long expectation, massage that for matchup and rank the projected weekly stats with respect to how they’ll affect final standings.

Buried in that is the word “current”. That is, in-season player projections are constantly updated. Most of the time, they’re generated by a projection engine folding in current skills. However, occasionally I’ll go back and retroactively change the initial projection if the algorithms aren’t capturing the new skills fast enough. In short, I’m essentially admitting I botched the original projection and am fixing it.

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